Trump Leads Harris By 2 Points In Latest Post-Labor Day New York Times Poll

A recent poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, taken after Labor Day and the Democratic National Convention, shows former President Donald Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris by two points among registered voters nationwide. The poll, conducted from September 3-6, reveals a continued trend of Trump gaining traction with key voter groups, including Black, Hispanic, and young voters.

According to the poll, Trump is overperforming with Black voters, securing 17% of their support, up 5 points from his 2020 performance. In comparison, Harris is trailing behind Biden’s 2020 numbers with Black voters by 13 points. Among Hispanic voters, Trump has also made gains, garnering 42% of support—an increase of 10 points from 2020—while Harris is lagging 14 points behind Biden’s 2020 performance with this group.

Read: Ex-CNN Analyst Says He Thinks Harris ‘Has More Riding On’ Debate Than Trump, She’ll ‘Probably’ Be ‘More Nervous’

Trump’s appeal among younger voters, typically a strong Democratic demographic, has also seen improvement. He trails Harris by just 1 point (46% to 47%) among voters aged 18-29, marking a 10-point improvement from his performance in 2020, while Harris is 13 points behind Biden’s numbers with this age group.

The Trump campaign’s internal analysis highlights Harris’s apparent struggle to maintain the support of non-white and younger voters, forcing her campaign to play defense.

Notably, the Trump campaign has previously pointed out that NYT/Siena’s battleground state polls from August reflected inflated numbers for Biden. However, the latest national survey appears to be more in line with the actual electorate, showing 37% of registered voters saying they voted for Trump in 2020, compared to 40% for Biden.

Read: Jonathan Turley Says He Thinks ‘Merchan Was Aware’ Sentencing Trump Before Election Would Help Him Win

The Trump campaign sees this national poll as further evidence of their candidate’s growing momentum heading into the 2024 election.

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