The Atlantic hurricane season remains active, with forecasters monitoring three areas for potential tropical development.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96)
A low-pressure system located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is showing some signs of organization, but it’s still embedded within a dry environment. While significant development is unlikely, forecasters haven’t ruled out the possibility of a short-lived tropical depression forming as it moves northward.
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- Formation chance through 7 days: Low, 20 percent.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Low, 20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico
A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and parts of Central America is associated with a low-pressure system. Conditions appear favorable for this system to gradually develop over the next few days, with a good chance of becoming a tropical depression as it moves northward into the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Regardless of its development, this system is expected to bring heavy rain to parts of Central America.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Low, 10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days: High, 70 percent.
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Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic
A tropical wave is moving westward off the coast of Africa. While the environment could support gradual development, it’s still early to say for sure. There’s a moderate chance it could become a tropical depression later this week as it tracks across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Low, near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days: Medium, 40 percent.
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