A tropical disturbance is brewing in the central Caribbean Sea and is expected to develop into a tropical depression within the next few days.
The system is forecast to move slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Favorable environmental conditions are expected to support further development as the disturbance meanders over the region.
Residents in the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system and be prepared for potential impacts, including heavy rainfall and strong winds.
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Key Messages:
- Tropical Development Likely: A tropical depression is likely to form in the central Caribbean Sea within the next two to three days with a medium (60%) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a high (90%) chance of formation in the next 7 days.
- Slow Movement: The system is expected to move slowly westward and then meander over the western Caribbean Sea.
- Potential for Strengthening: Favorable conditions could lead to further development of the system.
- Areas of Concern: Interests in the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the situation closely.
- Forecast Uncertainty: While the long-range track is uncertain, the potential for impacts to the region exists.
AccuWeather is warning of a potential major hurricane forming in the Caribbean Sea. Exceptionally warm ocean temperatures and low wind shear are creating ideal conditions for rapid intensification.
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“We’ll likely be dealing with a hurricane as we head into this weekend. There is increasing confidence that a tropical storm will develop in the central to western Caribbean later this week,” explained AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. “We could be dealing with a storm that rapidly intensifies into a major hurricane in these very conducive conditions. The atmosphere is primed for development.”
The next named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be Tropical Storm Sara.
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