Economy Taxes

Inflation Eases In August Amidst Economic Slowdown Concerns

Economy Taxes
US Currency (File)

Inflation cooled in August, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.5% annually, down from 2.9% in July. This marks the first time in over two years that inflation has dipped below 3%.

However, concerns of an economic slowdown persist due to recent disappointing job gains and a spike in unemployment.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 3.2% year-over-year, unchanged from July.

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These figures come amidst growing fears of an economic slowdown. Unemployment rose in July, and job growth in August was lower than expected. The downward revision of over 800,000 jobs for the period between April 2023 and March 2024 has also added to the concerns.

The Federal Reserve’s response to high inflation under the Biden administration has been to raise interest rates to a 23-year high.

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However, with inflation showing signs of easing, there’s growing expectation that the Fed may lower interest rates at its September meeting. This would reduce borrowing costs and potentially stimulate economic growth.

Market expectations, as reflected in the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, suggest a high probability of a rate cut, though the exact magnitude remains uncertain.

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