Tropical Storm Milton is rapidly organizing in the Gulf of Mexico and poses a significant threat to the Florida Peninsula. Satellite imagery shows a strengthening storm with increasing banding features. Hurricane Hunters are en route to gather more data on the storm’s intensity, which is currently estimated at 45 knots (52 mph).
Milton is expected to intensify quickly as it tracks eastward across the Gulf of Mexico. Steering currents will then guide the storm northeastward towards Florida by midweek, potentially as a major hurricane. While the exact track and intensity remain uncertain, the National Hurricane Center warns that a powerful hurricane with life-threatening hazards could impact portions of Florida’s west coast.
Read: Tampa Offers Free Sandbags And Tarps As Heavy Rain Threatens City
Watches and Warnings:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula from Celestun to Cancun.
- Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches will likely be issued for portions of Florida later today.
Forecast Challenges:
Forecasters are facing several challenges in predicting Milton’s path and intensity. The storm’s small size makes it prone to rapid changes in strength. Additionally, while conditions are currently favorable for intensification, Milton will encounter increasing wind shear and dry air, which could hinder its development. There is also the possibility of extratropical transition as the storm interacts with a frontal system.
Potential Impacts:
Despite the uncertainties, residents along Florida’s west coast should prepare for the following potential impacts:
- Dangerous Storm Surge: Life-threatening storm surge is possible, inundating coastal areas.
- Damaging Winds: Hurricane-force winds could cause significant damage to structures and power outages.
- Heavy Rainfall: Torrential rainfall could lead to flash flooding, urban flooding, and river flooding. Rainfall amounts of 5 to 8 inches, with localized totals up to 12 inches, are possible across portions of the Florida Peninsula and the Keys through Wednesday night.
Prepare Now:
The National Hurricane Center urges residents to closely monitor the storm’s progress and heed advice from local officials. Hurricane watches could be issued for portions of Florida as early as today. Now is the time to review your hurricane plan, ensure you have necessary supplies, and be ready to act if evacuation orders are issued.
Key Messages:
- Milton is forecast to rapidly intensify and could be a major hurricane when it reaches Florida’s west coast midweek.
- Life-threatening storm surge and wind impacts are possible beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday.
- Heavy rainfall could impact Florida as early as Sunday and Monday, with more intense rainfall expected Tuesday through Wednesday.
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