In the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has emerged as a strong contender, surpassing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in FiveThirtyEight’s (538) national polling average for the first time.
This shift in the rankings highlights Haley’s rising popularity and momentum in recent months.
Since August, Nikki Haley, the former United Nations ambassador and governor of South Carolina, has been steadily gaining momentum in the polls.
Her rise can be attributed to multiple factors, including her strong performances in primary debates and her track record as a respected political figure. These factors have resonated with Republican voters, leading to an increase in her support.
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Up until now, Ron DeSantis had consistently held second place in the GOP field, closely trailing former President Trump. However, DeSantis has experienced a decline in national polling numbers, dropping from above 30 percent to low double-digits.
This decline has paved the way for Nikki Haley to overtake him in the national polling average, marking a significant shift in the dynamics of the race.
FiveThirtyEight (538), a renowned polling analysis website, calculates a national polling average that provides insights into the preferences of Republican voters.
According to their latest analysis, Nikki Haley has secured the second position in their polling average, surpassing Ron DeSantis.
It’s important to note that there are caveats to the accuracy of polls, including confidence intervals and different methods of calculating polling averages. Nonetheless, Haley’s rise in FiveThirtyEight’s average indicates a significant increase in her support among GOP voters.
Despite Nikki Haley’s rise in the polls, former President Trump remains the clear front-runner for the Republican nomination.
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Holding a 50-point lead in FiveThirtyEight’s national average, Trump continues to maintain significant leads in early-voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire. His popularity and established base of supporters give him a substantial advantage in the race.
While Trump still dominates the early-voting states, Nikki Haley has been making notable progress in these key battlegrounds. Particularly in New Hampshire, Haley’s support has been growing steadily.
This indicates that she is resonating with voters in these crucial states, positioning herself as a formidable competitor to both Trump and DeSantis.
Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis are set to face off in a debate hosted by CNN in Iowa. This debate, scheduled ahead of the Iowa caucuses on January 15, will provide an opportunity for the candidates to showcase their policies, visions, and debating skills. It’s a crucial moment for both Haley and DeSantis to make their case to the voters and garner support.
Notably, former President Trump has decided to skip the CNN debate and instead participate in a town hall hosted by Fox News.
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