CNN data reporter Harry Enten said Thursday that President Joe Biden’s best path to win the 2024 election would be to sweep three states he narrowly won in the 2020 election.
According to the RealClearPolling average of polls, Biden currently trails former President Donald Trump by 0.5% in a national head-to-head matchup. Trump’s lead grows to 1.3% when independent candidates Cornel West, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are included.
Enten singled out Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as states that could be the best chance for Biden to secure reelection.
“This is the road to 270, and it’s Biden’s best path based on the polls and past results, and basically, if you want to look here, it’s these yellow states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and where are the polls right now here?” Enten told “CNN News Central” co-host Sara Sidner, showing figures from an aggregate of polls he selected. “Look how tight they are here: Two-point lead for Trump in Pennsylvania, tied in Michigan, tied in Wisconsin. If he carries all three of these, Biden does, he gets to exactly 270 electoral votes.”
Biden won Michigan by 2.8%, Pennsylvania by 1.2% and Wisconsin by 0.7% in the 2020 election, according to Politico.
According to the RCP average, Trump currently leads Biden by 0.2% in Michigan, 2.3% in Pennsylvania, and 0.3% in Wisconsin in head-to-head matchups. On June 20, 2020, Biden led by 8.4%, 5.7%, and 5.4%, respectively.
When West, Kennedy and Stein are included, Trump leads 0.1% in Michigan, 2.9% in Pennsylvania and 0.3% in Wisconsin, according to RCP.
First published by the Daily Caller News Foundation.
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