AccuWeather has released its 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast, predicting a potentially volatile season with 13-18 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes.
Notably, AccuWeather experts are forecasting 3-6 direct storm impacts to the U.S., with Texas, Louisiana, western Florida, North Carolina, and Atlantic Canada facing a higher-than-average risk.
“Everyone needs to start planning and preparing for hurricane season,” stated AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter. “Climatology, weather patterns, water temperatures, and many other factors all point to yet another active Atlantic hurricane season with more tropical storms and hurricanes forming, compared to the historical average.”
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While the forecast predicts fewer named storms than the previous year, AccuWeather emphasizes that landfall impacts are the critical factor. “It only takes one landfall to create a devastating season,” Porter warned.
Key Forecast Details:
- Named Storms: 13-18
- Hurricanes: 7-10
- Major Hurricanes (Category 3+): 3-5
- Direct U.S. Impacts: 3-6
The forecast highlights exceptionally warm Atlantic waters as a significant concern, increasing the risk of rapid intensification within 100 miles of the coastline.
“The threat of storms rapidly intensifying before they make landfall is a major concern again this year,” explained AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. “Water temperatures at the surface and hundreds of feet deep are forecast to be well above the historical average throughout this hurricane season, providing extra fuel for storms to explode in intensity.”
AccuWeather experts also pointed to four pivotal factors that will influence the season:
- The position of the Bermuda-Azores high.
- Water temperatures off the western coast of Africa.
- Water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean (El Niño/La Niña).
- Saharan dust.
The experts noted that the 2025 season shares similarities with 2017 and 2023, both years with significant hurricane impacts.
Regional Risks:
- Gulf Coast: Texas, Louisiana, and western Florida are at an elevated risk.
- East Coast: North Carolina is also facing increased risk.
- Atlantic Canada: Increased risk of direct impacts.
AccuWeather also stressed that inland areas should prepare for potential impacts, as tropical systems can bring significant rainfall and tornadoes far from the coastline.
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“In just the past five years, we’ve seen water temperatures in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf warm to levels never seen before in recorded history,” Anderson said. “That extra energy can supercharge tropical storms and hurricanes.” He also warned of increased inland flooding risks due to a warming atmosphere’s increased moisture-holding capacity.
Experts encourage residents in at-risk areas to prepare hurricane kits, review safety plans, and stay informed throughout the season, which officially begins on June 1 and ends on November 30.
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